Decline in Crime

Do Remote Workers Deter Neighborhood Crime? Evidence from the Rise of Working from Home

Working from home leads to a 4% decrease in neighborhood burglaries for every 9.5pp increase in WFH. This is attributed to burglars avoiding occupied homes and increased surveillance (“eyes on the street”). High WFH areas, especially with prior burglary risks, see increased property value.

August 2022 · Jesse Matheson, Brendon McConnell, James Rockey, Argyris Sakalis
Ratchet Effect

Dynamic Electoral Competition with Voter Loss Aversion and Imperfect Recall

Many countries have witnessed periods of political de-polarization as well as periods of polarization. This paper shows that this can be rationalised in a dynamic model of political competition with voter loss-aversion and imperfect recall.

June 2022 · Ben Lockwood, Minh Le, James Rockey
Endogenous Parties

A Quantitative Model of Democracy

We construct a citizen-candidate model with multiple districts and endogenous parties. The model is able to provide quantitatively and qualitatively realistic results.

Daniel Ladley, James Rockey
Party Vote Shares

In the Grip of Whitehall? The Effects of Party Control on Local Fiscal Policy in the UK

The study evaluates the influence of political parties on local fiscal policy in England and Wales from 1998-2015. It found that no party affected any aspect of fiscal policy, likely due to central government constraints.

Ben Lockwood, Francesco Porcelli, James Rockey
Natural Inequality

Inequality in an Equal Society

We provide new evidence on the extent to which changes in inequality reflect changes in demographics. Recent increases have been in spite of favourable demographic conditions.

Laura Harvey, Jochen Mierau, James Rockey
Percentage of Population with a Felony Conviction

Political Economy of Felon Disenfranchisement

Over 6.1M US citizens, especially black Americans, lose voting rights due to felonies. Using a new database, we reveal how this impacts political outcomes. Stricter laws lower voting likelihood, even among eligible individuals. Easing these laws promotes policy liberalism and black representation.

Arpita Ghosh, James Rockey
Networks of Candidates and Donors

Power and the money, money and the power: A network analysis of donations from American corporate to political leaders

Using a new dataset, this paper maps US political donations as a social network, highlighting an increase in donation polarization and concentration. While traditional donation patterns persist, there’s a clear shift towards a smaller set of influential donors and politicians gaining prominence.

James Rockey, Nadia Zakir
LPS Demand Changes London

Remote Working and the New Geography of Local Service Spending

Remote work reshapes where workers spend time, impacting local personal service demand in England and Wales. A 20% drop in commuting leads to a 7% LPS spending fall. City centres see the largest spending reductions, while increases are widespread. Less affluent areas see fewer remote work benefits.

Gianni De Fraja, Jesse Matheson, Paul Mizen, James Rockey, Shivani Taneja
The Decline in Real Wages

The Declining Fortunes of (most) American Workers

We show that real wages decline from the Boomer generation onwards, over the life course. Further analysis shows that this is true for almost all groups, at all income levels.

Laura Harvey, James Rockey
Global Gender Pay Inequality is Getting Worse

The Global Gender Gap in Labour Income

A new economic gender inequality (EGI) measure uses national labour income ratios. EGI equivalent to a billion women unpaid by 2017, driven by gender participation gaps. Asia and Africa see higher EGIs than Europe/Americas. Growth alone won’t bridge the most extreme gaps.

Tewodros Makonnen Gebrewolde, James Rockey, Akbar Ullah