LPS Demand Changes London

Remote Working and the New Geography of Local Service Spending

Economica Remote work reshapes where workers spend time, impacting local personal service demand in England and Wales. A 20% drop in commuting leads to a 7% LPS spending fall. City centres see the largest spending reductions, while increases are widespread. Less affluent areas see fewer remote work benefits.

August 2025 · Gianni De Fraja, Jesse Matheson, Paul Mizen, James Rockey, Shivani Taneja
Party Vote Shares

In the Grip of Whitehall? The Effects of Party Control on Local Fiscal Policy in the UK

European Journal of Political Economy The study evaluates the influence of political parties on local fiscal policy in England and Wales from 1998-2015. It found that no party affected any aspect of fiscal policy, likely due to central government constraints.

July 2025 · Ben Lockwood, Francesco Porcelli, James Rockey
Covid-19 Excess Mortality Map

Explaining international differences in excess mortality due to Covid-19

Nature Scientific Reports This study uses Bayesian Model Averaging to address the challenge of identifying which factors best explain cross-country variation in Covid-19 excess mortality. We find a key role for the quality of government.

April 2025 · Donya Brown, Martina Dattilo, James Rockey
Global Gender Pay Inequality is Getting Worse

The Global Gender Gap in Labour Income

Oxford Economic Papers A new economic gender inequality (EGI) measure uses national labour income ratios. EGI equivalent to a billion women unpaid by 2017, driven by gender participation gaps. Asia and Africa see higher EGIs than Europe/Americas. Growth alone won’t bridge the most extreme gaps.

April 2025 · Tewodros Makonnen Gebrewolde, James Rockey, Akbar Ullah
Generative AI and Educational Assessment

Generative AI and the social functions of educational assessment

Oxford Review of Education This paper examines how Generative AI, particularly large language models like ChatGPT, may enhance or challenge the traditional social functions of educational assessment through the lens of competence, competition, content, and control.

March 2025 · Patricia Broadfoot, James Rockey
Natural Inequality

Inequality in an Equal Society

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics We provide new evidence on the extent to which changes in inequality reflect changes in demographics. Recent increases have been in spite of favourable demographic conditions.

May 2024 · Laura Harvey, Jochen Mierau, James Rockey
Ratchet Effect

Dynamic Electoral Competition with Voter Loss Aversion and Imperfect Recall

Journal of Public Economics Many countries have witnessed periods of political de-polarization as well as periods of polarization. This paper shows that this can be rationalised in a dynamic model of political competition with voter loss-aversion and imperfect recall.

April 2024 · Ben Lockwood, Minh Le, James Rockey
Comparison with other casues of death

Estimating Excess Mortality due to female genital mutilation

Nature Scientific Reports FGM, affecting 200 million women, remains a substantial factor in child mortality. Data from 1990-2020 reveals a 50% FGM increase elevates the 5-year mortality by 0.075pp, leading to an extra 44,320 deaths yearly. FGM is thus a leading cause of deaths where practiced.

August 2023 · Arpita Ghosh, Heather Flowe, James Rockey
Case Progression Pathway

Evaluating Case Attrition along the Medico-Legal Case Referral Pathway for Sexual and Domestic Violence Survivors in Kenya: A Secondary Data Analysis

Victims & Offenders Analysis of Kenya’s medico-legal referral pathway for sexual/domestic violence shows survivor age and forensic evidence as key predictors for case progression. The results reflect cultural perceptions and can guide policies to strengthen the referral pathway.

May 2023 · Sarah Rockowitz, James Rockey, Laura M. Stevens, Melissa F. Colloff, Wangu Kanja, Heather D. Flowe
Tax loss plot

The Effectiveness of Industrial Policy in Developing Countries: Evidence from Ethiopian Manufacturing Firms

Journal of Development Effectiveness In Ethiopia, industrial policy showed limited benefits. Using manufacturing data, we found subsidies didn’t enhance productivity and only raised fungible assets. Tax breaks improved productivity but decreased capital, underscoring the importance of stability and bankruptcy protection.

October 2022 · Tewodros M Gebrewolde, James Rockey