Bayesian model averaging

Explaining international differences in excess mortality due to Covid-19

Nature Scientific Reports This study uses Bayesian Model Averaging to address the challenge of identifying which factors best explain cross-country variation in Covid-19 excess mortality. We find a key role for the quality of government.

Distributions of Posterior Inclusion Probabilities across data sets

Growth Econometrics for Agnostics and True Believers

European Economic Review Bayesian Model Averaging has been widely used to address model uncertainty in empirical studies of economic growth. Ciccone and Jarociński (2010) highlighted its sensitivity to the data used. Using updated PWT data, this study meticulously revisits their critique and introduces a constrained agnosticism approach.